Market's view on Watkin Jones

Published on April 2024

  • Watkin Jones reported completion of building safety rectification on three buildings, with cash spend meeting expectations, despite ongoing industry-wide uncertainties regarding asset scopes and costs. Their financial position remains stable with unchanged provisions.
  • Watkin Jones experienced a notable loss of GBP 43 million, signaling a rough financial period against an uncertain economic backdrop.
  • Observations were made on the seasonal pattern in Watkin Jones’ share prices, typically seeing declines mid to late summer coinciding with project completions and partial recoveries by January.
  • Concerns were raised about the company’s selection of development locations, particularly the appropriateness of places without nearby educational facilities, hinting at potential strategic missteps in planning.
  • A decline in university enrollments was noted, potentially impacting the demand for student accommodation, a significant part of Watkin Jones’ business model. This was linked to broader shifts in student preferences and international economic strains.
  • Speculation about potential benefits from anticipated rate cuts in the UK, which might make it more appealing for international students, potentially benefiting Watkin Jones.
  • There were discussions about directors selling shares, although specific details or confirmations of such transactions were not disclosed.
  • Mention of an impressive and fast-paced development in Bath raised questions about the company’s cash flow status.
  • Insider dealing suspicions were briefly mentioned without specific details.
  • Personal investment actions were shared, such as increased holdings in Watkin Jones by a stock watcher’s wife’s broker, suggesting varied investor confidence in the company’s stock.
  • The company’s share price target was raised by Jefferies, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook on its financial health.
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