Market's view on Trident Royalties

Published on April 2024

  • The electrification of transport coupled with low lithium prices are perceived as a long-term bet for significant benefits, as conveyed by a taxi driver in Lisbon who mentioned low refill costs and quick charging times for his electric vehicle.
  • Concerns are raised about the over-dependence on lithium despite having a diversified portfolio, stressing that unless lithium prices improve, the prospects may remain unexciting.
  • The market is currently demanding proof of success rather than potential, with a specific call for actual delivery which is affecting mining stocks, including those related to lithium.
  • Positive movements in copper prices are reported, which should ostensibly boost revenues for those involved in copper mining.
  • The financial market has shown volatility, which might benefit those holding assets like gold through buy-sell price differentials.
  • Comments on issues such as new share issuance at a discount by Lithium America to finance faster project development suggest strategic moves to advance lithium projects.
  • The expected increase in gold production is projected to enhance income from gold royalties and off-take agreements.
  • Diversification into different minerals and better communication from management are highlighted as positive steps forward for certain companies.
  • Concerns about the timing of lithium production and its profitability are discussed, with specific references to agreements with large shareholders like General Motors ensuring a minimum price for lithium which secures profitability.
  • Discussions about the impact of high gold prices on revenues and the strategic timing of certain mines coming into production.
  • The lack of movement in stock prices despite strong commodity markets suggests that the valuation of assets isn’t reflective of their potential, particularly for assets not yet in production.
  • The financial community’s focus on return on equity and yield as valuation metrics for miners, projecting that companies like TRR need a few more years to achieve profitability.
  • The role of Thacker Pass in the company’s valuation is debated, with opinions varying on the impact of recent funding on its development timeline and overall asset value.
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