Market's view on Trainline

Published on April 2024

  • There is concern about Trainline’s stock due to potential government intervention, which could add uncertainty and possibly limit stock value growth.
  • Positive user experiences with Trainline’s services in Italy, Spain, and France have been shared, highlighting efficient operations.
  • There is sentiment that despite market reactions, Trainline’s core business of selling tickets remains unchanged.
  • A suggestion that the current situation could be an opportunity to buy shares at a lower price.
  • The possibility of Trainline providing free tickets as a response to challenges is considered unlikely.
  • Questions have been raised about the direct impact of certain political moves, like the potential nationalisation of railways by Labour, on Trainline’s business.
  • Shifts in investment from Trainline to other stocks like MTRO have been noted.
  • Discussions are ongoing about the financial metrics and future earnings predictions for Trainline.
  • Trainline’s financial position is discussed, with a focus on its net debt which has increased from previous figures.
  • Trainline is viewed by some as a potential turnaround stock, recommended for purchase based on future price forecasts.
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