Market's view on Tullow Oil

Published on April 2024

  • Concerns over a damaged oil tanker in a missile strike approximately 15 nautical miles southwest of Mocha, Yemen.
  • Observations on a potentially large limit buy order at approximately 36.7p, suggesting confidence in the current stock price with expectations of a positive week ahead.
  • Mention of a significant purchase of 921975 shares at .367, indicating a slight positive movement.
  • During Total’s results call, a reference was made to contracting strategies in Uganda, highlighting a smooth operation with 50% Asian contractor content.
  • Speculations on oil prices potentially exceeding $100 a barrel if conflicts in the Middle East worsen, as warned by the World Bank.
  • Expectations of the stock price holding at 36p and possibly reaching 40p in the near term due to large buy orders.
  • In Mauritania, decommissioning of the Banda and Tiof fields is planned, with significant investments expected to develop the Banda field despite historical challenges.
  • Discussions about the cyclical nature of the stock, suggesting potential recovery and significant upside.
  • Analysis looking for a catalyst to drive the stock price above 36p.
  • Predictions of a significant price breakout, potentially reaching 45-50p.
  • Debate over the strategic sense of maintaining operations in Argentina.
  • Information on a drillship expected to finish operations in Ghana in about five weeks.
  • Concerns over the company’s performance and management decisions, particularly in exiting Namibia during critical exploration phases.
  • Discussions about the company’s recovery post-COVID, with plans from some investors to exit around 40p.
  • Frustrations expressed over perceived poor management and strategic decisions, including flawed disposal activities and disappointing drilling results.
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