Market's view on Tlou Energy

Published on April 2024

  • Tlou is advancing its CBM assets in Botswana with the Lesedi gas-to-power project, holding significant 2P reserves and 2C resources. Construction includes a 66KV electricity transmission line with a 10MW PPA from BPC aiming for expansion up to 25MW, and possibly integrating solar and hydrogen production.
  • Expectations are set for Tlou to initiate electricity sales in 2024, following ongoing development activities such as substation completion, power generation equipment installation, and CBM drilling.
  • Funding for development has been partially secured, with contributions from ILC Investments and the Botswana Public Officers Pension Fund, alongside a process to secure full development funding.
  • Financial concerns are noted, with potential need for further financing as Tlou continues to manage its cash flow.
  • Some stock watchers speculate on another share placement due to financial needs, suggesting a possible price point of around 2p for the new shares.
  • Discussions around the placement opportunities and entitlements for shareholders in different regions, highlighting issues with share allocations and potential unfair treatment between AIM and ASX listed shares.
  • The recent positive development of gas flows from the Lesedi 6 pod is highlighted, marking a significant step in production capabilities.
  • There is speculation on the potential re-rating of the stock dependent on commercial viable flow rates from ongoing dewatering processes.
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