Market's view on Savills

Published on April 2024

  • HSBC upgraded Savills to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ with a new price target of 1260 pence, previously 825 pence.
  • Questions raised about the short-term trend of the chart, suggesting a potential movement towards the 800 support level.
  • Concerns about the impact of China’s economic issues on the global market, with specific references to the property giant Country Garden’s warning of a significant loss and the potential credit implications for suppliers due to Evergrande’s extensive projects.
  • Discussions on the UK housing market predicting a significant reduction in new homes due to rising borrowing costs, potentially leading to a considerable decrease in construction jobs and issues arising from high timber prices.
  • Speculation about the reasons behind a substantial recent increase in share price from 800p to 950p without clear external factors.
  • Observations on the possible impact of extreme temperatures across Europe on living conditions and real estate choices, linking climate change to potential increases in property buying in cooler climates.
  • Analysis of factors leading to fewer offshore buyers in the London property market, expecting a downturn influenced by interest rate changes and troubles in Chinese property markets.
  • Positive trading update from Savills highlighted strong performance, particularly in the UK and Asia Pacific regions, with profits expected to be materially ahead of 2019.
  • Discussion about the ongoing demand in London’s residential market despite broader economic concerns, contrasting with speculative views on a London exodus affecting property prices elsewhere.
  • Review of Savills’ strategic focus on growing less transactional aspects of their business to reduce volatility and potentially enhance their market standing.
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