Market's view on Urban Logistics

Published on April 2024

  • Stability and a rise in stock prices observed this morning, attributed to last week’s selling by IFAs. The fundamentals such as NAV, DY, and low debt are highlighted as strong, alongside significant management investment.
  • Potential for stock price to either align closer to NAV or trigger a takeover if the alignment does not occur.
  • Increased investments at £1.08 citing low vacancies and high reversion rates on leases, which are typically long, providing stability.
  • Concerns raised about the impact of rising UK 10-year yields on sector stock prices.
  • Company statements are strong, but stock remains unappealed due to rising yields, despite improved occupancy rates.
  • Positive reversions expected to aid in slowly growing NRI, maintaining and potentially increasing dividends.
  • The company is considered well-managed and focused, albeit within an unpopular sector currently.
  • Surprise expressed at strong financial numbers amidst current stock levels.
  • Urban Logistics recognized as the only London-listed REIT with focused exposure to single-let, last-mile logistics real estate, highlighting its unique market position.
  • Risk noted from Middle East geopolitical tensions potentially affecting stock prices, with current discounts possibly allowing for market fluctuations.
  • Continued investment in stocks despite rising yields, with some investors considering increasing their holdings if prices test lower levels.
  • Market volatility and unpopularity in the sector could lead to further declines or interest from larger players like LMP in integrating smaller trusts.
  • Potential impact of external market movements, like recent capital raises by competitors and aborted mergers, on the trust’s credibility and stock prices.
  • Concerns that a recent attempted acquisition was outside the trust’s core competency, which could have been seen as opportunistic and divergent from established goals.
  • Management fees reductions anticipated next month, expected to assist in covering dividends and adviser fees.
  • New investments encouraged by perceived undervaluation post recent economic data, with a strategic withdrawal from an overpriced deal garnering investor approval.
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