Market's view on Phoenix Spree D

Published on April 2024

  • There is a strong demand for rental housing in the German capital, yet the shares of the investment company continue to decline due to limited interest from UK investors, potentially leading to a lost continuation vote next year.
  • Concerns about the transparency and honesty of property sale reports, suggesting that additional costs and taxes may be hidden from shareholders, indicating a much higher loss than reported.
  • Criticism of the property company’s management, suggesting that they are not adept at property management as evidenced by significant financial losses in a short period and poor share price performance.
  • Several stock watchers discuss the tax inefficiency of REITs, especially without a tax-efficient wrapper or favourable double taxation agreements (DTA), potentially dissuading investment.
  • It is highlighted that insider buying can be a key indicator of trust in REITs, and a lack of insider purchases suggests potential mismanagement or self-serving interests at the expense of shareholders.
  • The management fees of a property company are scrutinised, with calculations suggesting an excessive percentage of rental income goes to management fees, leaving little for dividends or reinvestment.
  • Critique of the property company’s board, suggesting they lack depth and possibly maintain artificially high property valuations to avoid triggering loan covenants.
  • Discussions about possible outcomes for the property company, including potential buyouts or forced liquidation due to poor fundamentals and lack of dividend distribution.
  • Personal investment stories and advice shared, focusing on the losses incurred due to management missteps and high fees relative to net asset value (NAV).
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