Market's view on Panthera Res.
Published on April 2024
- Speculation on the timing of the next regulatory news service (RNS) announcement, focusing on whether it will address issues in West Africa, an early settlement, or proceed via the Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) route.
- Discussion on the potential impact of e-auction bidding, which could influence early settlement decisions due to financial insights expected by early May.
- Various strategies debated regarding early settlements versus awaiting auction outcomes for better financial leverage.
- The potential addition of interest and damages to the claim value being discussed, with possible outcomes varying depending on the duration till the litigation conclusion in 2027.
- A desire expressed for a settlement around £150 million, with personal financial recovery seen as satisfactory without needing a substantial win.
- Analysis of potential award payouts ranging from £350 million to £450 million based on initial funding and commission structure indicated in the RNS, with expectations of higher awards over time.
- Clarification obtained from a CEO on procedural timelines for moving to the next litigation stage, noting that there’s no six-month waiting period required under the specific circumstances of their case.
- Personal bets and predictions made on the date of significant future developments, such as the announcement of arbitration or settlements.
- Expectations set for significant financial gains from settlements, with figures around $300 million discussed for shareholder distribution and funding other projects.