Market's view on Ninety One

Published on April 2024

  • Directors of the company recently purchased shares worth approximately £400k, prompting some stock watchers to buy shares too, expecting the share price to rise.
  • JPMorgan has raised the price target for Ninety One from 173 to 194 pence and maintains a neutral rating.
  • High employee ownership is noted, with expectations of performance improvement when markets recover around 2024 or 2025.
  • Observations suggest that efforts might be underway to take the company private, as the CEO and Finance Director have been buying shares through an employee vehicle, indicating a significant employee stake in the company.
  • There are expectations of getting a good entry price for shares due to potential sell-offs by private investors, influenced by actions from market makers and downgrades by analysts like JPMorgan.
  • Ninety One’s performance is highlighted with assets under management increasing by 7% and significant net inflows contributing to growth, alongside robust profit increases and strong fund performance in both fixed income and equities.
  • The company, a spin-off from Investec, retains a significant association with Investec, which holds a 24% stake in Ninety One. Increased performance in Ninety One positively impacts Investec’s financial health.
  • There is a general optimism about the stock, supported by director buy-ins and company fundamentals showing strong revenue, profit, and cash positions, suggesting a favorable long-term investment outlook.
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