Market's view on Mobico Group

Published on April 2024

  • Stock watchers note that the company is well-positioned to raise cash if needed, as indicated by its recent debt refinancing.
  • Concerns are raised about the company’s potential prepack administration, despite having £300 million in cash and £600 million in an undrawn revolving credit facility.
  • Some stock watchers speculate that significant shareholders might be lending their shares to shorts, potentially earning commissions.
  • Discussions include the possibility of the Cosmen family increasing their investments, affecting the company’s financial decisions.
  • The slow pace of the yellow bus sale, expected to conclude by the end of 2024, is seen as a strategic move to ready the company for a potential split or takeover within the next 8 months.
  • General sentiment suggests a watch-and-see approach, with expectations of a takeover and concerns about the company’s ability to deliver on its 3-year plan without being acquired.
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