Market's view on Land Securities

Published on April 2024

  • Mike Ashley is viewed as having a keen insight into the true value of prime shopping assets as a major occupier, and his involvement in buying these assets is seen positively.
  • Concerns exist around potential equity dilution following news of a plan to raise over £1 billion.
  • The UK commercial property market is anticipated to outperform its European counterparts over the next five years, bolstered by Brexit, which has led to properties in the UK trading at a discount compared to European peers.
  • There are expectations of capital expenditure to improve asset compliance to EPC B standards by 2030, with the possibility of favourable pricing due to a construction recession.
  • The financial strain from developments is expected to be managed through third-party equity, though concerns remain about the capex required to upgrade existing assets to EPC B.
  • Mixed reactions to company earnings, with some properties like city offices reporting a valuation decline, while net debt reduction through asset sales is seen as a positive step towards managing financial costs.
  • A significant occupancy rate of 99.5% in the West End is highlighted, alongside satisfaction with overall company performance despite challenging market conditions.
  • There are mixed sentiments about the company’s dividend adjustments and earnings, with some investors concerned about recent decreases in quarterly dividends.
  • The company is perceived as having a strong position in a difficult market, with potential improvements in EPRA earnings noted as a key area of interest.
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