Market's view on Keystone Law G.

Published on April 2024

  • William Robins, director of operations and compliance, has sold a significant portion (72%) of his shares, leaving him with 168k shares.
  • KEYS reported robust results revealing a solid business model with a key growth driver being the recruitment of high calibre lawyers, leading to an 8.5% growth in Principal Lawyers in FY24. Revenue increased by 15%, with widening margins and gearing contributing to a 23% growth in PBT, although the actual EPS growth was limited to 13% due to an increased tax rate.
  • The company noted that net interest income from client funds has become a new revenue line due to current high interest rates, highlighting the firm’s adaptability to market conditions.
  • KEYS is described as a capital-light, growth-oriented, and prodigious cash generator with a strong future outlook and a high cash conversion ratio, suggesting financial robustness and potential for increased dividends.
  • Concerns were raised about potential overseas takeover bids given the company’s solid performance but relatively low share price.
  • The stock was noted to be performing well despite broader market neglect of UK small caps, with predictions of eventual market correction leading to a PE expansion.
  • Strong recruitment activity was noted, with a significantly higher pace of hiring since the start of 2024.
  • A general sentiment of frustration was expressed regarding the stagnation of share prices despite strong company performance and fundamentals.
  • Positive updates and strong result announcements were noted along with high confidence in the company’s performance continuing to exceed market expectations, highlighted by strong hiring and billing metrics.
  • The company was noted for its debt-free status and strong cash conversion, which positions it well in an environment of higher interest rates.
  • A strong performance was expected to continue based on the latest financial results and business model strengths, which could potentially lead to surpassing current PBT forecasts.
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