Market's view on Grainger plc
Published on April 2024
- There is a discussion on Grainger’s current debt of 1.4bn at 3.3%, which is set to reset in 2028/29, but the benefit of a few years at 8.4% rental growth is acknowledged.
- Stock watchers are optimistic about Grainger’s performance due to a strong 8.4% like-for-like rental growth and potential from chronic housebuilding shortages.
- Positive remarks about Grainger’s recent trading statement indicate general approval of company’s performance.
- There’s a focus on the implications of Grainger becoming a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), particularly how this will require them to distribute over 90% of rental profits, significantly higher than the current rate.
- Enquiries are being made about the expected dividend payout after Grainger transitions to REIT status.
- A broker upgrade from Berenberg has initiated coverage of Grainger with a ‘buy’ rating and a price target of 305 pence.
- Mention of a small acquisition by Grainger, though details are minimal.
- Stock watchers note that despite growth in housing stock, dividend growth is slow and not significantly pushing up Net Asset Value (NAV).
- Positive feedback on Grainger’s financial results, highlighting great cashflows and a 9.2% increase in like-for-like new lets, reflecting strong pricing power.
- News of a joint venture with Network Rail and good company direction is shared.
- Grainger has sold a 15.3-acre site in Waterlooville, Hampshire to Bargate Homes and VIVID for a development of up to 200 homes as part of the Berewood Garden Village masterplan.
- There’s excitement about high occupancy and early lettings in new developments, such as the one in Derby being significantly pre-let.
- Stock watchers discuss the broader real estate market dynamics, noting that properties’ values are currently supported, reducing the risk of valuation decline in upcoming results.
- Observations made on operational sites, such as one in Sheffield, show modern amenities and full occupancy, indicating a solid business model from an operational perspective.
- There’s a general consensus that the expected yield for Grainger will increase post its conversion to a REIT.