Market's view on Gooch & Housego

Published on April 2024

  • There are mentions of recent transactions of 10000 shares at a higher price point, indicating potential institutional sell-off, which could lead to a further decline in share price.
  • An industry report forecasts significant growth in semiconductor content due to increasing demand for AI servers and AI-enabled devices, predicting substantial revenue increases in the semiconductor sector by 2026.
  • A new significant customer in the subsea data communications market has been secured, expected to contribute to revenues in the latter half of the 2024 financial year. The subsea cable industry is seeing robust growth, with substantial investments projected and an increase in the number of operational cables by 2025.
  • G&H manufactures optical components for drone gimbals. The UK’s Defence Drone Strategy, backed by a £4.5 billion investment, is seen as a positive development for the industry.
  • Octopus Investments Limited has increased its holding in the company, indicating some investor confidence.
  • There are concerns about industries using up old inventories, which might affect industrial orders, although there is an expectation of a need to replenish stocks soon.
  • A profit warning was issued, suggesting a decrease in expected annual profits by £3 million, although there is some optimism due to new contracts in subsea data communications and ongoing business in medical diagnostics and aerospace & defence.
  • Recent large purchases helped stabilise the stock price temporarily, but there is concern that further disappointing news might lead to institutional sell-down.
  • Discussions about management’s capability to handle operations post-COVID were highlighted, with issues such as insufficient skilled staff to meet order demands and increased competition affecting performance.
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