Market's view on Frasers Group

Published on April 2024

  • Concerns are raised about the falling stake of MUL, with the term ‘dropping like a stone’ used to describe the situation.
  • It is noted that Apax Partners’ acquisition from Frasers was not particularly large, suggesting that Frasers still has significant cash flow.
  • A mismatch in corporate strategies has led to speculation about other companies potentially facing similar outcomes.
  • Discussion about a new stake acquisition by Mike in Hornby, questioning if it reflects a nostalgic investment rather than a strategic one.
  • Speculation on potential increases in bidding due to the value seen by others.
  • Mention of Ashley possibly joining a bidding process, with a reference to his average purchase price being close to the current stock price.
  • Expectations of a ‘nice payback’ from Frasers’ 7% stake in Curry’s, which has seen a 30% increase.
  • Frasers’ stock buyback has restarted, suggesting a strategic move to bolster stock value.
  • Various trading updates and financial results from companies are discussed, highlighting issues such as poor trading news and the impact of no share buybacks.
  • Frasers’ tight cost controls and partial automation at the Shirebrook warehouse are praised for reducing labour reliance, with potential further automation planned for a new Coventry distribution centre.
  • The impact of a minimum wage increase to £11.44 per hour on low-paying employers like Frasers Group is discussed.
  • Observations on Frasers’ response to competitors and strategy to drive growth by focusing on beating JD Sports.
  • An unusual transaction by Ashley involving a bet on share price stability raises questions about insider trading practices.
  • Frasers’ acquisition strategy is described, focusing on purchasing distressed sellers and managing stock for profit.
  • Frasers Group’s expansion into the former John Lewis location in Peterborough is detailed, highlighting the approval for fitting out the store and expected benefits from an October opening.
  • Financial performance details are shared, reporting a record year with significant increases in revenue, profit before tax, and cash inflow, mainly driven by the core Sports Direct business and property dealings.
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