Market's view on Croma Security

Published on April 2024

  • CSSG received the first payment of over £500k from Vigilant as scheduled on 28 March 2024.
  • A stock watcher suggests CSSG could provide a non-regulatory news service (NRNS) update for significant payments to boost investor confidence.
  • The expectation for CSSG’s market performance includes a 30th percentile market PE ratio valuation at 86.5p, assuming all payments from Vigilant are timely.
  • WH Ireland is set to resume forecasts and full coverage of CSSG, noting the company’s alignment with management plans, a healthy net cash position of £2.1m, and expectations of further substantial payments from Vigilant.
  • The terms of the Vigilant deal include a total of ten payments, with the first payment of approximately £450,000 due nine months post-deal completion.
  • Another NHS security systems contract valued at £0.4m was secured by CSSG, highlighting its expanding influence within the NHS and the potential for transformational growth.
  • Recent trading updates have been positive, with a reported net profit increase of 18% in H1, and CSSG is actively pursuing acquisitions, having recently acquired two profitable locksmith businesses.
  • Analysts are encouraged by CSSG’s growth both organically and through acquisitions, with a rapid pace of growth and contract streams that underpin future performance.
  • CSSG’s acquisitions strategy includes the purchase of companies at reasonable prices, which offer operational gearing opportunities and expand its national footprint.
  • The company’s strategy includes a consistent push for acquisitions, with several more under consideration, demonstrating a robust pipeline and potential for significant scale-up.
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