Market's view on Chapel Down Grp
Published on April 2024
- Stock watchers suggest the company is signaling to potential bidders that a significant premium would be necessary to acquire it, pointing to stock valuation below market value and not accounting for ‘brand’ value.
- Positive feedback on recent financial results indicates growth is accelerating under competent management, but there is a note of caution about rising debt levels.
- A reassuring regulatory news service announcement was well-received, indicating progress.
- Discussion around the company’s move to AIM to secure financing for expansion through an equity raise; concerns were raised about why this strategy was not disclosed sooner.
- The CEO stated funding for growth and increased acreage would come from operating cashflow, suggesting no need for equity raise.
- Questions were raised about the valuation given the current production figures and potential future sales based on full acreage productivity.
- Concerns about the company’s cash flow and reliance on debt, suggesting a possible future equity placement to cover financial needs.
- The discussion includes opinions that the market may be entering oversupply due to many new vineyards coming online.
- The intrinsic value of the company’s assets, such as land and vineyards, is highlighted, noting they are underreported on the balance sheet compared to their market value.
- A significant shareholder’s actions are closely watched as an indicator of when might be a good time to sell shares.