Market's view on Babcock

Published on April 2024

  • The UK is set to increase defence spending to 2.5% of GDP, which will provide significant extra funding.
  • The US has approved a $61 billion arms package for Ukraine, which is seen as positive for defense stocks.
  • There is a current trend of profit-taking in all defense stocks, but it is expected that long-term buyers will enter the market due to increased global re-arming needs.
  • The defense sector is experiencing an overall downturn, with speculation about Putin’s status influencing the market.
  • A notable drop in BA shares by 4% is identified, suggesting its impact on sector sentiment.
  • There is a projection that stock prices might back-test 500p but are expected to rebound due to multi-year demand for re-arming and political criticisms of current governmental approaches in the UK and Europe.
  • A lack of additional funding for defence in the recent budget is heavily criticized in light of current global tensions.
  • A significant contract win for HMS Victorious is expected to have a positive opening impact on related stocks.
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