Alphawave IP: Scaling Up Amidst Challenges
Published on April 2024
Alphawave IP, a company specialising in high-speed data transfer chip design, has seen a marked increase in demand for its products, driven by the growing interest in artificial intelligence (AI). However, profitability has been affected by a slowdown in growth in Q1 and significant investments in R&D and marketing, among others.
Alphawave IP designs chips that facilitate high-speed data transfers and licenses these designs to other companies. The burgeoning interest in artificial intelligence has driven up demand for Alphawave’s designs, with bookings increasing by 68% to £310mn in the previous year. However, the growth rate has slowed down in Q1 of this year, with new bookings only showing a 20% YoY increase.
Alphawave IP has also consciously de-prioritised its lower-margin silicon business with Chinese customers, which resulted in royalties dropping by 75%. This strategic move, however, is expected to serve the company’s long-term goals.
Investments and Profitability
The company incurred an operating loss of $52.9mn in 2023 due to increased spending on R&D, marketing, and a significant rise in share-based compensation. However, excluding these expenses, adjusted cash profit (Ebitda) rose by 34%. This indicates that the company is making calculated investments to secure its position in the fast-growing AI industry.
Future Projections
The company’s management is optimistic about reaping the benefits of its capital-light business model in the coming years. They project revenue of $450mn in 2025, with an expected adjusted cash profit of about $100mn, marking an around 60% increase from this year’s figure.
Broker consensus predicts an earnings per share (EPS) rise to 12¢ by 2026, yielding a 2026 price/earnings (PE) ratio of 11. Despite the company recently downgrading its earnings expectations, the long-term outlook remains positive.
Outlook
While Alphawave IP’s growth has faced headwinds in Q1, the company’s decision to move away from its lower-margin silicon business with Chinese customers indicates a strategic emphasis on profitability over scale. The deliberate investments in R&D and marketing reflect a long-term vision to cement its position in the AI industry.
With the projected growth figures and the increasing demand for AI technology, Alphawave seems well-positioned to capitalise on the AI boom. The company’s capital-light model, combined with its strategic focus on high-margin businesses, suggests a positive profitability trajectory in the foreseeable future.
However, the recent downgrade in earnings expectations is worth noting. It underscores the need for potential investors to remain cautious and appraise the company’s performance regularly.
On balance, Alphawave IP’s long-term prospects appear promising, making it a viable investment option for those betting on the steady rise of AI technology.